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FTMatchday 2

Marseille vs Paris FC: Prediction

📍 Orange Vélodrome

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

8 goals
MarseilleParis FC
  1. Mason Greenwoodpenalty18'
  2. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyangassist Mason Greenwood24'
  3. 28'Ilan Kebbal
  4. 58'Moses Simonassist Ilan Kebbal
  5. Timothy Weahon63'
  6. 64'Moses Simonon
  7. 64'Willem Geubbelson
  8. 69'Adama Camaraon
  9. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyangassist Bilal Nadir73'
  10. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyangon74'
  11. Pierre Hojbjergassist Bilal Nadir81'
  12. 83'Nhoa Sanguion
  13. 83'Vincent Marchettion
  14. Mason Greenwoodpenalty85'
  15. Robinio Vazyellow card88'
  16. Amine Gouirion90'
  17. Ulisses Garciaon90'
  18. Robinio Vazassist Mason Greenwood90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MarseilleParis FC
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots8
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 5Corners2
  • 9Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves2
  • 590Passes379

Line-ups

Marseille

  • 23Pierre Hojbjerg
  • 1Geronimo Rulli
  • 97Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
  • 22Timothy Weah
  • 9Amine Gouiri
  • 6Ulisses Garcia
  • 5Leonardo Balerdi
  • 10Mason Greenwood
  • 8Angel Gomes
  • 62Michael Murillo
  • 4Conrad Egan-Riley

Paris FC

  • 9Willem Geubbels
  • 27Moses Simon
  • 21Maxime Lopez
  • 10Ilan Kebbal
  • 31Samir Chergui
  • 4Vincent Marchetti
  • 6Otávio Ataide da Silva
  • 16Obed Nkambadio
  • 5Moustapha Mbow
  • 17Adama Camara
  • 19Nhoa Sangui

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1528

Recent form

MarseilleL
Paris FCL
#TeamPGDPts
1Marseille9+1318
2Paris FC9-310

Head to head

  • Marseille 2–3 Paris FC2026-09-06

Match preview

Marseille host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 23 August 2025. Marseille sit 3rd on 18 points and Paris FC are 11th on 10. Marseille have won 0 of their last 1 (L), while Paris FC have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 0, Paris FC won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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