Marseille vs Lorient: Prediction
📍 Orange Vélodrome
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 10'Darlin Yongwared card
- ⚽Mason Greenwoodpenalty13'
- 14'⇄Noah Cadiouon
- ⚽Benjamin Pavardassist Mason Greenwood20'
- Benjamin Pavardyellow card26'
- ⚽Angel Gomes33'
- ⇄Amine Gouirion44'
- Angel Gomesyellow card53'
- 55'Dermane Karimyellow card
- ⇄Timothy Weahon61'
- ⇄Facundo Axel Medinaon61'
- ⇄Geoffrey Kondogbiaon61'
- 62'⇄Dermane Karimon
- 62'⇄Jean-Victor Makengoon
- 62'⇄Sambou Soumanoon
- 71'Abdoulaye Fayeyellow card
- 74'⇄Joel Mvukaon
- ⇄Benjamin Pavardon78'
- Igor Paixãoyellow card86'
- ⚽Nayef Aguerdassist Arthur Vermeeren90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 72%Possession28%
- 2.26Expected goals (xG)0.14
- 15Shots4
- 8Shots on target1
- 10Corners0
- 18Fouls5
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides0
- 1Saves4
- 800Passes306
Line-ups
Marseille
- 19Geoffrey Kondogbia
- 28Benjamin Pavard
- 22Timothy Weah
- 9Amine Gouiri
- 21Nayef Aguerd
- 10Mason Greenwood
- 8Angel Gomes
- 62Michael Murillo
- 32Facundo Axel Medina
- 12Jeffrey de Lange
- 26Bilal Nadir
Lorient
- 38Yvon Mvogo
- 6Laurent Abergel
- 44Darlin Yongwa
- 17Jean-Victor Makengo
- 3Montassar Talbi
- 93Joel Mvuka
- 28Sambou Soumano
- 5Bamo Meïté
- 8Noah Cadiou
- 29Dermane Karim
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MarseilleLWL
LorientLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 9 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Lorient | 9 | -9 | 8 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Marseille host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 12 September 2025. Marseille sit 3rd on 18 points and Lorient are 16th on 8. Marseille have won 1 of their last 3 (LWL), while Lorient have won 1 of 3 (LWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
