Marseille vs Le Havre: Prediction
📍 Orange Vélodrome
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
8 goals- 24'⚽Yassine Kechtaassist Issa Soumaré
- 34'Gautier Llorisred card
- ⚽Mason Greenwoodpenalty35'
- 38'⇄Mbwana Samattaon
- 45'Yanis Zouaouiyellow card
- ⇄Emerson Palmierion65'
- ⇄Matt O'Rileyon65'
- ⇄Angel Gomeson65'
- 65'⇄Rassoul N'Diayeon
- 65'⇄Fodé Doucouréon
- ⚽Mason Greenwoodassist Igor Paixão67'
- ⇄Igor Paixãoon71'
- ⚽Mason Greenwoodassist Robinio Vaz72'
- ⚽Mason Greenwoodassist Benjamin Pavard76'
- Bilal Nadiryellow card78'
- ⇄Mason Greenwoodon79'
- 84'⇄Ayumu Sekoon
- 84'⇄Yassine Kechtaon
- ⚽Robinio Vazassist Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang88'
- Michael Murilloyellow card90'
- 90'⚽Abdoulaye Toureassist Younes Namli
- ⚽Michael Murilloassist Bilal Nadir90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 74%Possession26%
- 4Expected goals (xG)0
- 18Shots8
- 11Shots on target3
- 2Corners1
- 18Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
- 3Offsides3
- 1Saves5
- 684Passes238
Line-ups
Marseille
- 23Pierre Hojbjerg
- 97Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
- 33Emerson Palmieri
- 28Benjamin Pavard
- 5Leonardo Balerdi
- 21Nayef Aguerd
- 10Mason Greenwood
- 8Angel Gomes
- 17Matt O'Riley
- 14Igor Paixão
- 12Jeffrey de Lange
Le Havre
- 4Gautier Lloris
- 70Mbwana Samatta
- 13Fodé Doucouré
- 14Rassoul N'Diaye
- 7Loïc Négo
- 15Ayumu Seko
- 99Mory Diaw
- 93Arouna Sangante
- 45Issa Soumaré
- 8Yassine Kechta
- 18Yanis Zouaoui
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MarseilleLWWWW
Le HavreWLDDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 9 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 9 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Marseille 4–3 Le Havre2026-10-25
Match preview
Marseille host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 18 October 2025. Marseille sit 3rd on 18 points and Le Havre are 14th on 9. Marseille have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Le Havre have won 1 of 5 (WLDDD). In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, Le Havre won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
