Kick-off · Thu, 31 Dec, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 18
Manchester United vs Sunderland: Prediction
Manchester United58%Home win
Sunderland58% Home win22% Draw20% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.90 – 1.03
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1498
Recent form
Manchester UnitedDLDLLSunderlandLLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–0 Manchester United2026-05-09
- Manchester United 2–0 Sunderland2025-10-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
