Kick-off · Fri, 8 Jan, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 20
Manchester United vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Manchester United53%Home win
Newcastle United53% Home win23% Draw24% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.77 – 1.11
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1487
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLDDDLNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United2026-03-04
- Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle United2025-12-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
