Manchester United vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 Old Trafford
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Patrick Dorgu24'
- ⇄Mason Mounton46'
- ⇄Benjamin Šeškoon60'
- ⇄Casemiroon61'
- 68'⇄Jacob Ramseyon
- 68'⇄Nick Woltemadeon
- 68'⇄Jacob Murphyon
- Luke Shawyellow card69'
- 73'Sandro Tonaliyellow card
- 77'⇄Sandro Tonalion
- ⇄Lisandro Martínezon88'
- ⇄Luke Shawon88'
- Matheus Cunhayellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 33%Possession67%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 9Shots16
- 3Shots on target3
- 2Corners11
- 9Fouls5
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 3Saves2
- 329Passes627
Line-ups
Manchester United
- 23Luke Shaw
- 18Casemiro
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 7Mason Mount
- 31Senne Lammens
- 30Benjamin Šeško
- 25Manuel Ugarte
- 13Patrick Dorgu
- 26Ayden Heaven
Newcastle United
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 5Fabian Schär
- 32Aaron Ramsdale
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 3Lewis Hall
- 67Lewis Miley
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Manchester UnitedWDWDL
Newcastle UnitedWDWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | +19 | 71 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United2026-03-04
Match preview
Manchester United host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 26 December 2025. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Manchester United have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDL), while Newcastle United have won 2 of 5 (WDWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
