FTMatchday 22

Manchester United vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Manchester United2

Manchester City0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Manchester UnitedManchester City

Diogo Dalotyellow card11'
Luke Shawyellow card17'
45'Rodriyellow card
46'Max Alleyneon
46'Phil Fodenon
48'Nico O'Reillyyellow card
Bryan Mbeumoassist Bruno Fernandes65'
Bryan Mbeumoon71'
75'Rico Lewisyellow card
Patrick Dorguassist Matheus Cunha76'
80'Bernardo Silvaon
80'Jérémy Dokuon
80'Erling Haalandon
Casemiroon81'
Luke Shawon90'
Bruno Fernandeson90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedManchester City

32%Possession68%
2.03Expected goals (xG)0.45
11Shots7
7Shots on target1
1Corners6
13Fouls8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Offsides1
1Saves5
297Passes640

Line-ups

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
5Harry Maguire
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
2Diogo Dalot
6Lisandro Martínez
16Amad Diallo
19Bryan Mbeumo
31Senne Lammens
13Patrick Dorgu
37Kobbie Mainoo

Manchester City

6Nathan Ake
20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
47Phil Foden
16Rodri
42Antoine Semenyo
9Erling Haaland
11Jérémy Doku
82Rico Lewis
45Abduqodir Khusanov
68Max Alleyne

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1535

Recent form

Manchester UnitedLWDDD

Manchester CityWWDDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Manchester United	38	+19	71

Head to head

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City2026-09-13
Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United2025-09-14

Match preview

Manchester United host Manchester City in the Premier League on 17 January 2026. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Manchester United have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDDD), while Manchester City have won 2 of 5 (WWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.