Manchester United vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 Old Trafford
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 5'⚽Noah Okafor
- Matheus Cunhayellow card18'
- 29'⚽Noah Okaforassist Brenden Aaronson
- 39'James Justinyellow card
- Luke Shawyellow card49'
- Lisandro Martínezred card56'
- Bruno Fernandesyellow card64'
- ⚽Casemiroassist Bruno Fernandes69'
- ⇄Noussair Mazraouion70'
- ⇄Amad Dialloon70'
- 74'⇄Ao Tanakaon
- 74'⇄Noah Okaforon
- 86'Ethan Ampaduyellow card
- 86'⇄Brenden Aaronsonon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 1.27Expected goals (xG)2.57
- 20Shots15
- 9Shots on target6
- 11Corners4
- 12Fouls15
- 3Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves6
- 497Passes453
Line-ups
Manchester United
- 23Luke Shaw
- 18Casemiro
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 3Noussair Mazraoui
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 16Amad Diallo
- 31Senne Lammens
- 30Benjamin Šeško
- 25Manuel Ugarte
- 15Leny Yoro
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 22Ao Tanaka
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +19 | 71 | |
| 2 | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United2026-10-18
- Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United2026-01-04
Match preview
Manchester United host Leeds United in the Premier League on 13 April 2026. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWD), while Leeds United have won 0 of 5 (DLLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Leeds United won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

