Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38
Manchester United vs Fulham: Prediction
Manchester United54%Home win
Fulham54% Home win23% Draw23% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.78 – 1.10
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1483
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLDDDLFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Fulham 1–1 Manchester United2026-09-20
- Manchester United 3–2 Fulham2026-02-01
- Fulham 1–1 Manchester United2025-08-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
