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FTMatchday 28

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace
  1. 4'Maxence Lacroixassist Brennan Johnson
  2. 6'Daichi Kamadayellow card
  3. Luke Shawon24'
  4. Diogo Dalotyellow card36'
  5. 49'Dean Hendersonyellow card
  6. 56'Maxence Lacroixred card
  7. Bruno Fernandespenalty57'
  8. 58'Jørgen Strand Larsenon
  9. 58'Brennan Johnsonon
  10. Benjamin Šeškoassist Bruno Fernandes65'
  11. 68'Adam Whartonon
  12. Benjamin Šeškoon75'
  13. 85'Daichi Kamadaon
  14. Harry Maguireon85'
  15. Bryan Mbeumoon86'
  16. Ayden Heavenyellow card89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.12Expected goals (xG)0.38
  • 20Shots8
  • 11Shots on target3
  • 7Corners1
  • 13Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides2
  • 2Saves9
  • 609Passes398

Line-ups

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 5Harry Maguire
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 2Diogo Dalot
  • 10Matheus Cunha
  • 19Bryan Mbeumo
  • 31Senne Lammens
  • 30Benjamin Šeško
  • 15Leny Yoro
  • 37Kobbie Mainoo

Crystal Palace

  • 1Dean Henderson
  • 7Ismaïla Sarr
  • 18Daichi Kamada
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 26Chris Richards
  • 2Daniel Muñoz
  • 11Brennan Johnson
  • 22Jørgen Strand Larsen
  • 20Adam Wharton
  • 23Jaydee Canvot

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1521

Recent form

Manchester UnitedWWWDW
Crystal PalaceLDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester United38+1971
2Crystal Palace38-1045

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United2025-11-30

Match preview

Manchester United host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 1 March 2026. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWDW), while Crystal Palace have won 2 of 5 (LDWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Crystal Palace won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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