Kick-off · Sat, 6 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Manchester United vs Chelsea: Prediction
Manchester United50%Home win
Chelsea50% Home win24% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 1.15
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1504
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLDDDLChelseaDLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United2026-04-18
- Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea2025-09-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
