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FTMatchday 5

Manchester United vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Manchester UnitedChelsea
  1. 5'Robert Sanchezred card
  2. 6'Estêvãoon
  3. 7'Pedro Netoon
  4. Bruno Fernandesassist Patrick Dorgu14'
  5. Casemiroyellow card17'
  6. 21'Cole Palmeron
  7. Casemiroassist Harry Maguire37'
  8. 44'Marc Cucurellayellow card
  9. Casemirored card45'
  10. Casemiroyellow card45'
  11. Benjamin Šeškoon46'
  12. 48'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
  13. 50'Trevoh Chalobahyellow card
  14. Noussair Mazraouion64'
  15. 64'Marc Cucurellaon
  16. 64'Wesley Fofanaon
  17. Bryan Mbeumoon69'
  18. Harry Maguireon70'
  19. 72'Tyrique Georgeyellow card
  20. 80'Trevoh Chalobahassist Reece James
  21. Bruno Fernandeson87'
  22. 90'Tosin Adarabioyoyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedChelsea
  • 41%Possession59%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 11Shots5
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 5Corners5
  • 13Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 1Red cards1
  • 3Offsides2
  • 0Saves2
  • 371Passes550

Line-ups

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 5Harry Maguire
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 4Matthijs de Ligt
  • 3Noussair Mazraoui
  • 16Amad Diallo
  • 19Bryan Mbeumo
  • 1Altay Bayındır
  • 30Benjamin Šeško
  • 13Patrick Dorgu

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 8Enzo Fernández
  • 41Estêvão

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1524

Recent form

Manchester UnitedLDDWL
ChelseaDWWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester United38+1971
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United2026-10-31
  • Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United2026-04-18

Match preview

Manchester United host Chelsea in the Premier League on 20 September 2025. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Manchester United have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDWL), while Chelsea have won 2 of 5 (DWWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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