FTMatchday 3

Manchester United vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Manchester United3

Burnley2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Manchester UnitedBurnley

Josh Cullenown goal27'
Matheus Cunhaon31'
Mason Mounton46'
55'Lyle Fosterassist Jacob Bruun Larsen
Bryan Mbeumoassist Diogo Dalot57'
65'Hannibal Mejbrion
66'Jaidon Anthony
Casemiroon72'
Bruno Fernandesyellow card76'
76'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
82'Jacob Bruun Larsenon
83'Hjalmar Ekdalon
Leny Yoroon85'
89'Loum Tchaounayellow card
Bruno Fernandespenalty90'
90'Jaidon Anthonyyellow card
90'Lyle Fosteryellow card
90'Josh Laurentyellow card
90'Kyle Walkeryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedBurnley

62%Possession38%
4Expected goals (xG)1
26Shots6
6Shots on target3
7Corners1
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves5
499Passes307

Line-ups

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
2Diogo Dalot
4Matthijs de Ligt
10Matheus Cunha
7Mason Mount
16Amad Diallo
19Bryan Mbeumo
1Altay Bayındır
15Leny Yoro

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
24Josh Cullen
7Jacob Bruun Larsen
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
18Hjalmar Ekdal
9Lyle Foster
5Maxime Esteve
28Hannibal Mejbri
3Quilindschy Hartman

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1497

Recent form

Manchester UnitedLDD

BurnleyLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	+19	71
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 2–2 Manchester United2026-01-07

Match preview

Manchester United host Burnley in the Premier League on 30 August 2025. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Manchester United have won 0 of their last 3 (LDD), while Burnley have won 2 of 3 (LWW). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Burnley won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.