Kick-off · Sat, 28 Nov, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 12
Manchester United vs Brentford: Prediction
Manchester United48%Home win
Brentford48% Home win24% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.64 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1541
Recent form
Manchester UnitedDLDLLBrentfordDWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 2–1 Brentford2026-04-27
- Brentford 3–1 Manchester United2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
