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FTMatchday 16

Manchester United vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

8 goals
Manchester UnitedBournemouth
  1. 5'Tyler Adamson
  2. Amad Diallo13'
  3. 40'Antoine Semenyoassist Adam Smith
  4. Diogo Dalotyellow card43'
  5. 43'Antoine Semenyoyellow card
  6. Casemiroassist Bruno Fernandes45'
  7. 46'Evanilsonassist Marcus Tavernier
  8. Casemiroyellow card50'
  9. 52'Marcus Tavernier
  10. Casemiroon61'
  11. Leny Yoroon69'
  12. Mason Mounton69'
  13. 76'Marcos Senesiyellow card
  14. Bruno Fernandes77'
  15. 78'Evanilsonon
  16. 79'Adam Smithyellow card
  17. Matheus Cunha79'
  18. 84'Eli Junior Kroupi
  19. Luke Shawon90'
  20. Bryan Mbeumoon90'
  21. 90'Marcus Tavernieron
  22. 90'Justin Kluiverton

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedBournemouth
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)2
  • 25Shots14
  • 9Shots on target9
  • 5Corners4
  • 15Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 5Saves5
  • 382Passes297

Line-ups

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 2Diogo Dalot
  • 10Matheus Cunha
  • 7Mason Mount
  • 16Amad Diallo
  • 19Bryan Mbeumo
  • 31Senne Lammens
  • 15Leny Yoro
  • 26Ayden Heaven

Bournemouth

  • 15Adam Smith
  • 19Justin Kluivert
  • 24Antoine Semenyo
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 18Bafodé Diakité
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 20Álex Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1482

Recent form

Manchester UnitedDLWDW
BournemouthLDLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester United38+1971
2Bournemouth38+457

Head to head

  • Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth2026-10-25
  • Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United2026-03-20

Match preview

Manchester United host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 15 December 2025. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Manchester United have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWDW), while Bournemouth have won 0 of 5 (LDLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Bournemouth won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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