Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 Old Trafford
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 41'Ollie Watkinsyellow card
- ⚽Casemiroassist Bruno Fernandes53'
- Casemiroyellow card60'
- 60'⇄Ollie Watkinson
- 61'⇄John McGinnon
- 64'⚽Ross Barkley
- 69'Emiliano Buendiayellow card
- ⚽Matheus Cunhaassist Bruno Fernandes71'
- Leny Yoroyellow card72'
- ⇄Bryan Mbeumoon75'
- ⚽Benjamin Šeško81'
- 82'⇄Ross Barkleyon
- 82'⇄Lucas Digneon
- 86'⇄Emiliano Buendiaon
- Harry Maguireyellow card90'
- ⇄Casemiroon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 1.07Expected goals (xG)1.02
- 16Shots9
- 6Shots on target2
- 6Corners6
- 10Fouls5
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 1Saves3
- 479Passes425
Line-ups
Manchester United
- 23Luke Shaw
- 5Harry Maguire
- 18Casemiro
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 16Amad Diallo
- 19Bryan Mbeumo
- 31Senne Lammens
- 15Leny Yoro
- 37Kobbie Mainoo
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 6Ross Barkley
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 12Lucas Digne
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 7John McGinn
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 26Lamare Bogarde
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Manchester UnitedWDWWL
Aston VillaDWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | +19 | 71 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United2025-12-21
Match preview
Manchester United host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 15 March 2026. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Aston Villa have won 1 of 5 (DWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
