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FTMatchday 1

Manchester United vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Old Trafford

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Manchester UnitedArsenal
  1. 13'Riccardo Calafiori
  2. 42'Riccardo Calafioriyellow card
  3. Diogo Daloton55'
  4. 60'Gabriel Martinellion
  5. 60'Viktor Gyökereson
  6. Mason Mounton65'
  7. Casemiroon65'
  8. 71'Ben Whiteon
  9. 72'Riccardo Calafiorion
  10. Luke Shawon80'
  11. 83'Declan Riceon
  12. Patrick Dorguyellow card85'
  13. 85'David Rayayellow card
  14. 90'Myles Lewis-Skellyyellow card
  15. 90'Jurrien Timberyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester UnitedArsenal
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 22Shots9
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 3Corners4
  • 10Fouls19
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 2Saves7
  • 476Passes296

Line-ups

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 2Diogo Dalot
  • 4Matthijs de Ligt
  • 10Matheus Cunha
  • 7Mason Mount
  • 19Bryan Mbeumo
  • 1Altay Bayındır
  • 15Leny Yoro
  • 13Patrick Dorgu

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 4Ben White
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 2William Saliba
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1532

Recent form

Manchester United–
Arsenal–
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Manchester United38+1971

Head to head

  • Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United2026-01-25

Match preview

Manchester United host Arsenal in the Premier League on 17 August 2025. Manchester United sit 3rd on 71 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. In their last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Arsenal won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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