Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 19
Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction
Manchester City69%Home win
Tottenham Hotspur69% Home win18% Draw13% Away win
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.26 – 0.87
Team rating (Elo)1642 – 1463
Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWLTottenham HotspurDLDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Tottenham Hotspur 2–2 Manchester City2026-02-01
- Manchester City 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
