FTMatchday 15

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Sunderland0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Manchester CitySunderland

Ruben Diasassist Rayan Cherki31'
Joško Gvardiolassist Phil Foden35'
Joško Gvardiolyellow card37'
56'Bertrand Traoreon
56'Wilson Isidoron
Phil Fodenassist Rayan Cherki65'
Phil Fodenon69'
Erling Haalandon69'
Joško Gvardiolon70'
72'Noah Sadikion
72'Granit Xhakaon
Rayan Cherkion82'
Bernardo Silvaon82'
88'Trai Humeon
90'Luke O'Nienred card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CitySunderland

64%Possession36%
2Expected goals (xG)1
18Shots8
6Shots on target1
6Corners5
9Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
0Offsides3
1Saves2
615Passes350

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
10Rayan Cherki
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
33Nico O'Reilly

Sunderland

25Bertrand Traore
34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
6Lutsharel Geertruida
15Omar Alderete
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
32Trai Hume
18Wilson Isidor
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1498

Recent form

Manchester CityWLLWW

SunderlandDDLWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Sunderland	38	-6	54

Head to head

Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland2026-09-20
Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City2026-01-01

Match preview

Manchester City host Sunderland in the Premier League on 6 December 2025. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Sunderland have won 1 of 5 (DDLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.