FTMatchday 29

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City2

Nottingham Forest2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Manchester CityNottingham Forest

Antoine Semenyoassist Rayan Cherki31'
45'Ibrahim Sangaréyellow card
56'Morgan Gibbs-Whiteassist Igor Jesus
60'Murilloyellow card
Rodriassist Rayan Aït-Nouri62'
63'Nikola Milenkovićyellow card
63'Nicolás Domínguezon
76'Elliott Andersonassist Callum Hudson-Odoi
Phil Fodenon77'
Rayan Aït-Nourion77'
79'Igor Jesuson
Rayan Cherkion82'
90'Matz Selsyellow card
90'Neco Williamson
90'Morgan Gibbs-Whiteon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityNottingham Forest

70%Possession30%
2.12Expected goals (xG)0.97
21Shots9
7Shots on target4
6Corners1
10Fouls6
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
2Saves3
774Passes329

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
16Rodri
42Antoine Semenyo
21Rayan Aït-Nouri
9Erling Haaland
10Rayan Cherki
15Marc Guéhi
27Matheus Nunes

Nottingham Forest

26Matz Sels
34Ola Aina
31Nikola Milenković
3Neco Williams
16Nicolás Domínguez
10Morgan Gibbs-White
6Ibrahim Sangaré
8Elliott Anderson
5Murillo
19Igor Jesus
23Jair Cunha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1492

Recent form

Manchester CityDWWWW

Nottingham ForestDLDLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City2025-12-27

Match preview

Manchester City host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 4 March 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (DWWWW), while Nottingham Forest have won 0 of 5 (DLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.