Kick-off · Sat, 20 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 26
Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Manchester City67%Home win
Newcastle United67% Home win19% Draw14% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.18 – 0.90
Team rating (Elo)1645 – 1487
Recent form
Manchester CityWWWWLNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United2026-02-21
- Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
