FTMatchday 4

Manchester City vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Manchester United0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Manchester CityManchester United

Phil Fodenassist Jérémy Doku18'
Erling Haalandassist Jérémy Doku53'
62'Leny Yoroon
62'Noussair Mazraouion
Erling Haalandassist Bernardo Silva68'
Rodrion76'
Jérémy Dokuon77'
80'Manuel Ugarteon
80'Benjamin Šeškoon
Erling Haalandon87'
Bernardo Silvaon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityManchester United

45%Possession55%
2Expected goals (xG)2
12Shots13
5Shots on target2
2Corners4
8Fouls8
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
2Saves2
415Passes487

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
16Rodri
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
45Abduqodir Khusanov
33Nico O'Reilly

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
8Bruno Fernandes
4Matthijs de Ligt
3Noussair Mazraoui
16Amad Diallo
19Bryan Mbeumo
1Altay Bayındır
30Benjamin Šeško
25Manuel Ugarte
15Leny Yoro
13Patrick Dorgu

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1502

Recent form

Manchester CityWLL

Manchester UnitedLDDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Manchester United	38	+19	71

Head to head

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City2026-09-13
Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City2026-01-17

Match preview

Manchester City host Manchester United in the Premier League on 14 September 2025. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Manchester City have won 1 of their last 3 (WLL), while Manchester United have won 1 of 4 (LDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.