FTMatchday 11

Manchester City vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Liverpool0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Manchester CityLiverpool

Nico Gonzálezyellow card27'
Erling Haalandassist Matheus Nunes29'
36'Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card
Bernardo Silvayellow card41'
Nico Gonzálezassist Bernardo Silva45'
52'Conor Bradleyyellow card
Rayan Cherkion53'
56'Andrew Robertsonon
56'Hugo Ekitikéon
Jérémy Dokuassist Nico O'Reilly63'
Jérémy Dokuon74'
74'Alexis Mac Allisteron
83'Conor Bradleyon
83'Florian Wirtzon
89'Curtis Jonesyellow card
90'Dominik Szoboszlaiyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityLiverpool

49%Possession51%
2Expected goals (xG)1
14Shots7
6Shots on target1
7Corners7
14Fouls15
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Offsides7
2Saves3
446Passes454

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
10Rayan Cherki
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
33Nico O'Reilly

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
26Andrew Robertson
4Virgil van Dijk
5Ibrahima Konate
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
7Florian Wirtz
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
22Hugo Ekitiké
12Conor Bradley

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1488

Recent form

Manchester CityWLWWW

LiverpoolWLLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Liverpool	38	+10	60

Head to head

Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City2026-10-11
Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City2026-02-08

Match preview

Manchester City host Liverpool in the Premier League on 9 November 2025. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Liverpool have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 2, Liverpool won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.