FTMatchday 13

Manchester City vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Leeds United2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Manchester CityLeeds United

Phil Fodenassist Matheus Nunes1'
Joško Gvardiolassist Nico O'Reilly25'
46'Degnand Gnontoon
46'Daniel Jameson
49'Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Matheus Nunesyellow card55'
Bernardo Silvayellow card57'
58'Joe Rodonyellow card
Joško Gvardiolyellow card66'
68'Lukas Nmecha
69'James Justinon
Tijjani Reijnderson75'
82'Lukas Nmechaon
Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card87'
Bernardo Silvaon89'
Jérémy Dokuon90'
90'Ao Tanakaon
Phil Fodenassist Rayan Cherki90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityLeeds United

62%Possession38%
3.10Expected goals (xG)1.54
18Shots9
9Shots on target4
8Corners1
17Fouls11
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides4
1Saves6
561Passes348

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
33Nico O'Reilly

Leeds United

6Joe Rodon
24James Justin
7Daniel James
4Ethan Ampadu
5Pascal Struijk
2Jayden Bogle
14Lukas Nmecha
44Ilia Gruev
22Ao Tanaka
29Degnand Gnonto
1Lucas Perri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1502

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWLL

Leeds UnitedLWLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Leeds United	38	-7	47

Head to head

Leeds United 0–1 Manchester City2026-02-28

Match preview

Manchester City host Leeds United in the Premier League on 29 November 2025. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.