Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 20

Manchester City vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Manchester CityChelsea
  1. Tijjani Reijnders42'
  2. 46'Estêvãoon
  3. Joško Gvardiolon51'
  4. 52'Reece Jamesyellow card
  5. Ruben Diasyellow card54'
  6. 62'Josh Acheampongon
  7. 62'João Pedroon
  8. Tijjani Reijnderson70'
  9. Matheus Nunesyellow card79'
  10. 79'Liam Delapyellow card
  11. Ruben Diason81'
  12. Bernardo Silvayellow card90'
  13. 90'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
  14. 90'Enzo Fernández

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityChelsea
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 14Shots8
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 8Corners2
  • 12Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 2Saves2
  • 580Passes436

Line-ups

Manchester City

  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 3Ruben Dias
  • 47Phil Foden
  • 16Rodri
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 4Tijjani Reijnders
  • 10Rayan Cherki
  • 24Joško Gvardiol
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 33Nico O'Reilly

Chelsea

  • 5Benoit Badiashile
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 8Enzo Fernández
  • 12Filip Jörgensen
  • 41Estêvão
  • 34Josh Acheampong

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1524

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWWD
ChelseaDWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City2026-04-12

Match preview

Manchester City host Chelsea in the Premier League on 4 January 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (DWDLD). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming