Manchester City vs Chelsea: Prediction
📍 Etihad Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Tijjani Reijnders42'
- 46'⇄Estêvãoon
- ⇄Joško Gvardiolon51'
- 52'Reece Jamesyellow card
- Ruben Diasyellow card54'
- 62'⇄Josh Acheampongon
- 62'⇄João Pedroon
- ⇄Tijjani Reijnderson70'
- Matheus Nunesyellow card79'
- 79'Liam Delapyellow card
- ⇄Ruben Diason81'
- Bernardo Silvayellow card90'
- 90'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
- 90'⚽Enzo Fernández
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 57%Possession43%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 14Shots8
- 3Shots on target3
- 8Corners2
- 12Fouls14
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 2Saves2
- 580Passes436
Line-ups
Manchester City
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 3Ruben Dias
- 47Phil Foden
- 16Rodri
- 9Erling Haaland
- 4Tijjani Reijnders
- 10Rayan Cherki
- 24Joško Gvardiol
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 33Nico O'Reilly
Chelsea
- 5Benoit Badiashile
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 7Pedro Neto
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 27Malo Gusto
- 10Cole Palmer
- 8Enzo Fernández
- 12Filip Jörgensen
- 41Estêvão
- 34Josh Acheampong
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +42 | 78 | |
| 2 | 38 | +6 | 52 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City2026-04-12
Match preview
Manchester City host Chelsea in the Premier League on 4 January 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (DWDLD). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

