FTMatchday 21

Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City1

Brighton and Hove Albion1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Manchester CityBrighton and Hove Albion

29'Lewis Dunkyellow card
41'Pascal Grossyellow card
Erling Haalandpenalty41'
53'Jan Paul van Heckeyellow card
Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card60'
60'Maxim Cuyperyellow card
60'Kaoru Mitomaassist Yasin Ayari
Nico Gonzálezon64'
69'Kaoru Mitomayellow card
Phil Fodenon73'
Nathan Akeon73'
Matheus Nuneson73'
77'Diego Gómezon
77'Georginio Rutteron
83'Kaoru Mitomaon
83'Yasin Ayarion
89'Tom Watsonyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityBrighton and Hove Albion

60%Possession40%
2Expected goals (xG)1
22Shots6
6Shots on target3
6Corners2
6Fouls16
1Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
2Saves3
578Passes381

Line-ups

Manchester City

6Nathan Ake
20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
11Jérémy Doku
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
45Abduqodir Khusanov
68Max Alleyne

Brighton and Hove Albion

5Lewis Dunk
30Pascal Gross
10Georginio Rutter
29Maxim Cuyper
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
26Yasin Ayari
13Jack Hinshelwood
25Diego Gómez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1535

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWDD

Brighton and Hove AlbionLDLDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53

Head to head

Manchester City 0–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-10-31
Brighton and Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City2025-08-31

Match preview

Manchester City host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 7 January 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWDD), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 1 of 5 (LDLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.