FTMatchday 36

Manchester City vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Brentford0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Manchester CityBrentford

Bernardo Silvayellow card36'
Tijjani Reijnderson60'
Rayan Cherkion60'
Jérémy Doku60'
62'Aaron Hickeyon
69'Mikkel Damsgaardon
Nico O'Reillyyellow card74'
Erling Haaland75'
79'Yehor Yarmolyukon
80'Kristoffer Ajeryellow card
88'Jordan Hendersonyellow card
Matheus Nunesyellow card88'
Jérémy Dokuon90'
Omar Marmoushassist Erling Haaland90'
Omar Marmoushyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityBrentford

59%Possession41%
2.98Expected goals (xG)0.24
25Shots4
10Shots on target2
10Corners2
8Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
2Saves7
463Passes320

Line-ups

Manchester City

6Nathan Ake
20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
42Antoine Semenyo
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
10Rayan Cherki
11Jérémy Doku
15Marc Guéhi
27Matheus Nunes
33Nico O'Reilly

Brentford

20Kristoffer Ajer
1Caoimhín Kelleher
24Mikkel Damsgaard
2Aaron Hickey
8Mathias Jensen
22Nathan Michael Collins
23Keane Lewis-Potter
7Kevin Schade
33Michael Kayode
18Yehor Yarmolyuk
9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1541

Recent form

Manchester CityDWWWD

BrentfordDDDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Brentford	38	+3	53

Head to head

Brentford 0–1 Manchester City2025-10-05

Match preview

Manchester City host Brentford in the Premier League on 9 May 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWD), while Brentford have won 1 of 5 (DDDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Brentford won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.