FTMatchday 10

Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City3

Bournemouth1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Manchester CityBournemouth

Erling Haalandassist Rayan Cherki17'
25'Tyler Adams
Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card26'
Erling Haalandassist Rayan Cherki33'
Phil Fodenyellow card45'
Nico O'Reillyassist Phil Foden60'
62'Álex Jiménezon
62'Eli Junior Kroupion
62'David Brookson
65'Adrien Truffertyellow card
Rayan Cherkion73'
Jérémy Dokuon73'
73'Alex Scotton
80'Tyler Adamson
Erling Haalandon82'
87'Justin Kluivertyellow card
Bernardo Silvaon90'
Phil Fodenon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityBournemouth

48%Possession52%
2Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots8
8Shots on target5
9Corners4
8Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides3
4Saves4
493Passes521

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
10Rayan Cherki
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
33Nico O'Reilly

Bournemouth

7David Brooks
24Antoine Semenyo
12Tyler Adams
5Marcos Senesi
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
18Bafodé Diakité
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1482

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWLW

BournemouthDDWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Bournemouth	38	+4	57

Head to head

Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth2026-08-23
Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City2026-05-19

Match preview

Manchester City host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 2 November 2025. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWLW), while Bournemouth have won 2 of 5 (DDWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.