Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 Etihad Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Antoine Semenyo23'
- 46'⇄Andrés Garcíaon
- 47'⚽Ollie Watkins
- ⇄Antoine Semenyoon58'
- ⇄Bernardo Silvaon59'
- 61'⚽Ollie Watkinsassist Ross Barkley
- 73'⇄Douglas Luizon
- 73'⇄Victor Lindelöfon
- 73'⇄Lamare Bogardeon
- ⇄Tijjani Reijnderson77'
- ⇄Nathan Akeon77'
- ⇄John Stoneson78'
- Rico Lewisyellow card82'
- 86'⇄Ross Barkleyon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 1.25Expected goals (xG)1.58
- 16Shots12
- 3Shots on target5
- 9Corners4
- 8Fouls4
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 3Saves2
- 458Passes436
Line-ups
Manchester City
- 6Nathan Ake
- 5John Stones
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 3Rúben Dias
- 47Phil Foden
- 42Antoine Semenyo
- 4Tijjani Reijnders
- 1James Trafford
- 14Nico González
- 82Rico Lewis
- 26Savinho
Aston Villa
- 6Ross Barkley
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 40Marco Bizot
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 3Victor Lindelöf
- 21Douglas Luiz
- 31Leon Bailey
- 22Ian Maatsen
- 26Lamare Bogarde
- 16Andrés García
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Manchester CityWDWWD
Aston VillaWLLDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City2026-10-24
- Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City2025-10-26
Match preview
Manchester City host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 24 May 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWD), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (WLLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 0, Aston Villa won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
