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FTMatchday 33

Manchester City vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Manchester CityArsenal
  1. Rayan Cherkiassist Matheus Nunes16'
  2. 18'Kai Havertz
  3. 36'Cristhian Mosquerayellow card
  4. 46'Noni Maduekeon
  5. Marc Guéhiyellow card60'
  6. Erling Haaland65'
  7. 74'Cristhian Mosqueraon
  8. 74'Eberechi Ezeon
  9. Erling Haalandyellow card83'
  10. 83'Gabriel Magalhãesyellow card
  11. 84'Martín Zubimendion
  12. Rayan Cherkion85'
  13. Rodrion88'
  14. Jérémy Dokuon88'
  15. Antoine Semenyoon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityArsenal
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1.41Expected goals (xG)1.53
  • 15Shots9
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 8Corners5
  • 5Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides4
  • 1Saves2
  • 482Passes335

Line-ups

Manchester City

  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 16Rodri
  • 42Antoine Semenyo
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 10Rayan Cherki
  • 11Jérémy Doku
  • 15Marc Guéhi
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 45Abduqodir Khusanov
  • 33Nico O'Reilly

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 29Kai Havertz
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 2William Saliba
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 5Piero Hincapié
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1532

Recent form

Manchester CityWWDDW
ArsenalWWWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278

Head to head

  • Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City2025-09-21

Match preview

Manchester City host Arsenal in the Premier League on 19 April 2026. Manchester City sit 2nd on 78 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDDW), while Arsenal have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 0, Arsenal won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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