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FTMatchday 30

Mallorca vs Real Madrid: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1557

Recent form

MallorcaLLDWL
Real MadridWLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Mallorca35-841

Head to head

  • Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca2025-08-30

Match preview

Mallorca host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 4 April 2026. Mallorca sit 12th on 41 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Mallorca have won 1 of their last 5 (LLDWL), while Real Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mallorca won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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