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FTMatchday 5

Mallorca vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
MallorcaAtlético Madrid
  1. Marash Kumbullaon36'
  2. 62'Julián Álvarezon
  3. 62'Giuliano Simeoneon
  4. 62'Giacomo Raspadorion
  5. Samú Costaon67'
  6. Takuma Asanoon68'
  7. 68'Pablo Barrioson
  8. 72'Alexander Sørlothred card
  9. 77'Nicolás Gonzálezon
  10. 79'Conor Gallagher
  11. Manu Morlaneson82'
  12. Mateu Moreyon82'
  13. Vedat Muriqi85'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MallorcaAtlético Madrid
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 8Shots12
  • 3Shots on target7
  • 3Corners6
  • 14Fouls6
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides1
  • 6Saves2
  • 391Passes551

Line-ups

Mallorca

  • 22Johan Mojica
  • 11Takuma Asano
  • 24Martin Valjent
  • 4Marash Kumbulla
  • 7Vedat Muriqi
  • 2Mateu Morey
  • 21Antonio Raíllo
  • 12Samú Costa
  • 8Manu Morlanes
  • 10Sergi Darder
  • 1Leo Román

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 6Koke
  • 15Clément Lenglet
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 22Giacomo Raspadori
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 23Nicolás González
  • 19Julián Álvarez
  • 8Pablo Barrios
  • 20Giuliano Simeone

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1501

Recent form

MallorcaLLL
Atlético MadridLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Mallorca35-841

Head to head

  • Atlético Madrid 3–0 Mallorca2026-01-25

Match preview

Mallorca host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 21 September 2025. Mallorca sit 12th on 41 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Mallorca have won 0 of their last 3 (LLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 1 of 4 (LDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Mallorca won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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