Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
📍 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
6 goals- ⚽Vedat Muriqiassist Sergi Darder5'
- 8'⚽Unai Gómezassist Gorka Guruzeta
- Marash Kumbullayellow card18'
- 40'Dani Vivianyellow card
- ⚽Vedat Muriqipenalty42'
- ⚽Vedat Muriqi42'
- 45'⚽Nico Williamsassist Unai Gómez
- 45'Jesús Aresoyellow card
- 45'Gorka Guruzetayellow card
- 45'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card
- 59'⇄Álex Berengueron
- 59'⇄Unai Gómezon
- ⚽Vedat Muriqipenalty69'
- 70'Gorka Guruzetayellow card
- 70'Gorka Guruzetared card
- 71'Unai Gómezred card
- 72'⇄Nico Williamson
- 72'Adama Boiroyellow card
- 72'Iñigo Lekueyellow card
- ⇄Mateo Josephon73'
- 73'Oihan Sancetyellow card
- 76'⇄Jesús Aresoon
- 76'⇄Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
- ⇄Toni Latoon83'
- ⇄Jan Virgilion83'
- ⇄Sergi Darderon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 51%Possession49%
- 2.54Expected goals (xG)2.13
- 17Shots21
- 9Shots on target11
- 3Corners7
- 10Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards7
- 0Red cards3
- 2Offsides0
- 9Saves6
- 473Passes432
Line-ups
Mallorca
- 5Omar Mascarell
- 3Toni Lato
- 24Martin Valjent
- 4Marash Kumbulla
- 7Vedat Muriqi
- 2Mateu Morey
- 12Samú Costa
- 10Sergi Darder
- 1Leo Román
- 18Mateo Joseph
- 17Jan Virgili
Athletic Bilbao
- 17Yuri Berchiche
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 1Unai Simón
- 11Gorka Guruzeta
- 3Dani Vivian
- 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- 10Nico Williams
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 12Jesús Areso
- 20Unai Gómez
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MallorcaDWDLL
Athletic BilbaoLWLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca | 35 | -8 | 41 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | -12 | 41 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Mallorca2025-10-04
Match preview
Mallorca host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 17 January 2026. Mallorca sit 12th on 41 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Mallorca have won 1 of their last 5 (DWDLL), while Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of 5 (LWLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Mallorca won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
