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FTMatchday 6

Málaga vs Villarreal: Prediction

Málaga1
FT
Villarreal3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
MálagaVillarreal
  1. Carlos Dotorassist Juan Cruz12'
  2. José Salinasyellow card34'
  3. 37'Santi Comesañaon
  4. 40'Alberto Moleiroassist Ilias Akhomach
  5. 42'Ilias Akhomachyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1439 – 1468

Recent form

MálagaDLDD
VillarrealDLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal10011
2Málaga10-115

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Málaga host Villarreal in the La Liga on 17 September 2026. Málaga sit 20th on 5 points and Villarreal are 10th on 11. Málaga have won 0 of their last 4 (DLDD), while Villarreal have won 0 of 5 (DLLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming