Kick-off · Sun, 17 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 20
Málaga vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Málaga57%Away win
Real Madrid20% Home win23% Draw57% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score0-1
Expected goals (model)0.95 – 1.77
Team rating (Elo)1445 – 1557
Recent form
MálagaLLDLDReal MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Málaga | 9 | -10 | 5 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–0 Málaga2026-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
