Mainz vs Wolfsburg: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 3'⚽Mohammed Amouraassist Saël Kumbedi
- Stefan Poschyellow card33'
- 60'Patrick Wimmeryellow card
- ⇄Danny da Costaon65'
- ⇄Paul Nebelon65'
- 66'⇄Mohammed Amouraon
- ⚽Phillip Tietzassist Nadiem Amiri68'
- 70'Vinicius Souzayellow card
- ⚽Stefan Bellassist Benedict Hollerbach73'
- 75'⇄Vinicius Souzaon
- 75'⇄Patrick Wimmeron
- ⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty83'
- 84'⇄Yannick Gerhardton
- 84'⇄Christian Eriksenon
- Dominik Kohryellow card86'
- Stefan Bellyellow card90'
- ⇄Phillip Tietzon90'
- ⇄Benedict Hollerbachon90'
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 3.82Expected goals (xG)0.73
- 20Shots7
- 9Shots on target2
- 15Corners1
- 8Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 1Saves5
- 425Passes319
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Wolfsburg
- 24Christian Eriksen
- 31Yannick Gerhardt
- 3Denis Vavro
- 1Kamil Grabara
- 39Patrick Wimmer
- 15Moritz Jenz
- 5Vinicius Souza
- 26Saël Kumbedi
- 17Dzenan Pejcinovic
- 9Mohammed Amoura
- 25Aaron Zehnter
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzDDDWL
WolfsburgWLLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg | 32 | -22 | 29 |
Head to head
- Wolfsburg 1–1 Mainz2025-08-31
Match preview
Mainz host Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga on 24 January 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Wolfsburg are 15th on 29. Mainz have won 1 of their last 5 (DDDWL), while Wolfsburg have won 2 of 5 (WLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Wolfsburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
