FTMatchday 7
Mainz vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
Mainz2–3
Werder BremenNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1475
Recent form
MainzDWWLWWerder BremenLWWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 6 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
Head to head
- Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz2026-03-15
- Mainz 1–1 Werder Bremen2025-11-01
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
