Mainz vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Silvan Widmerassist Benedict Hollerbach36'
- 45'Marco Friedlyellow card
- 46'⇄Samuel Mbangulaon
- 59'Abdoul Coulibalyyellow card
- 64'⇄Victor Bonifaceon
- 64'⇄Marco Grüllon
- ⇄Benedict Hollerbachon69'
- ⇄Phillipp Mweneon77'
- ⇄Silvan Widmeron77'
- 81'⇄Abdoul Coulibalyon
- 86'⚽Jens Stage
- 88'Keke Toppyellow card
- ⇄Paul Nebelon89'
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon89'
- Nikolas Veratschnigyellow card90'
- 90'⇄Romano Schmidon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 47%Possession53%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 10Shots5
- 5Shots on target3
- 2Corners0
- 19Fouls11
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides1
- 2Saves3
- 406Passes468
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 27Robin Zentner
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 8Paul Nebel
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 6Kaishu Sano
Werder Bremen
- 32Marco Friedl
- 3Yukinari Sugawara
- 5Amos Pieper
- 20Romano Schmid
- 17Marco Grüll
- 6Jens Stage
- 44Victor Boniface
- 14Senne Lynen
- 30Mio Backhaus
- 7Samuel Mbangula
- 31Abdoul Coulibaly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzWLLLL
Werder BremenLLWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 32 | -23 | 29 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen2026-10-24
- Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz2026-03-15
Match preview
Mainz host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 1 November 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Mainz have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Werder Bremen have won 2 of 5 (LLWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Mainz won 1, Werder Bremen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
