Mainz vs Stuttgart: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Jae-Sung Leeassist Danny da Costa39'
- 65'⇄Lorenz Assignonon
- ⇄Sheraldo Beckeron74'
- 75'⇄Chris Führichon
- 75'⇄Luca Jaquezon
- 76'⚽Ermedin Demirovićassist Deniz Undav
- 77'⚽Deniz Undavassist Tiago Tomás
- 82'Tiago Tomásyellow card
- 84'⇄Maximilian Mittelstädton
- 84'⇄Deniz Undavon
- ⇄Silvan Widmeron85'
- 90'Julian Chabotyellow card
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon90'
- ⇄Paul Nebelon90'
- ⇄Danny da Costaon90'
- ⚽Danny da Costa90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 38%Possession62%
- 2.82Expected goals (xG)0.98
- 17Shots11
- 6Shots on target4
- 5Corners6
- 7Fouls12
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 2Saves3
- 318Passes535
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Stuttgart
- 33Alexander Nübel
- 9Ermedin Demirović
- 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 24Julian Chabot
- 16Atakan Karazor
- 10Chris Führich
- 18Jamie Leweling
- 6Angelo Stiller
- 22Lorenz Assignon
- 26Deniz Undav
- 14Luca Jaquez
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzWWWLD
StuttgartWWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 32 | +21 | 58 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz2025-10-26
Match preview
Mainz host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 7 March 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Stuttgart have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
