Mainz vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 MEWA ARENA
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Stefan Bellyellow card7'
- ⇄Stefan Bellon15'
- 32'⇄Xaver Schlageron
- 40'⚽Johan Bakayokoassist Ezechiel Banzuzi
- ⇄William Bøvingon65'
- 66'⇄Johan Bakayokoon
- 66'⇄Antonio Nusaon
- ⇄Phillipp Mweneon75'
- ⇄Arnaud Nordinon75'
- ⇄Anthony Cacion75'
- 90'⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
- 90'⇄Christoph Baumgartneron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 13Shots19
- 2Shots on target4
- 3Corners5
- 12Fouls11
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides1
- 3Saves2
- 454Passes362
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 27Robin Zentner
- 21Danny da Costa
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 9Arnaud Nordin
- 19Anthony Caci
- 44Nelson Weiper
- 14William Bøving
- 6Kaishu Sano
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 9Johan Bakayoko
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzLD
RB LeipzigLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz2026-01-31
Match preview
Mainz host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 13 September 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Mainz have won 0 of their last 2 (LD), while RB Leipzig have won 1 of 2 (LW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 1, RB Leipzig won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
