Mainz vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
📍 MEWA ARENA
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 9'⚽Andreas Hanche-Olsenown goal
- Silvan Widmeryellow card24'
- 42'Bernardoyellow card
- ⇄Lennard Maloneyon46'
- ⇄Silvan Widmeron46'
- 58'⇄Andrej Kramarićon
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon67'
- 68'Robin Hranáčyellow card
- ⚽Danny da Costaassist Benedict Hollerbach76'
- 77'⇄Bazoumana Touréon
- Dominik Kohrred card88'
- Phillipp Mweneyellow card90'
- Nadiem Amiriyellow card90'
- ⇄Benedict Hollerbachon90'
- 90'⇄Fisnik Asllanion
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 17Shots19
- 3Shots on target5
- 7Corners4
- 13Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 4Saves0
- 376Passes468
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 27Robin Zentner
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 8Paul Nebel
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 6Kaishu Sano
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 27Andrej Kramarić
- 6Grischa Prömel
- 13Bernardo
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 7Leon Avdullahu
- 2Robin Hranáč
- 29Bazoumana Touré
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzLLLLD
HoffenheimDLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 32 | +11 | 57 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz2026-04-04
Match preview
Mainz host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 21 November 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. Mainz have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while Hoffenheim have won 3 of 5 (DLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 1, Hoffenheim won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
