Mainz vs Freiburg: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 33'Bruno Ogbusyellow card
- 45'Maximilian Eggesteinyellow card
- 45'Julian Schusteryellow card
- 46'⇄Bruno Ogbuson
- 47'⚽Lucas Hölerassist Matthias Ginter
- Nikolas Veratschnigyellow card55'
- ⇄Sota Kawasakion62'
- ⇄Nikolas Veratschnigon62'
- 64'⇄Cyriaque Iriéon
- 64'⇄Lukas Kübleron
- 73'Lucas Höleryellow card
- 74'⇄Derry Scherhanton
- ⇄Phillipp Mweneon74'
- ⇄Paul Nebelon74'
- 83'⇄Matthias Ginteron
- ⇄Danny da Costaon83'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 43%Possession57%
- 0.11Expected goals (xG)0.05
- 3Shots1
- 1Shots on target0
- 3Corners0
- 4Fouls8
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 0Saves1
- 140Passes196
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 21Danny da Costa
- 4Stefan Posch
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 22Nikolas Veratschnig
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
- 24Sota Kawasaki
Freiburg
- 28Matthias Ginter
- 30Christian Gunter
- 8Maximilian Eggestein
- 9Lucas Höler
- 17Lukas Kübler
- 31Igor Matanovic
- 7Derry Scherhant
- 1Noah Atubolu
- 43Bruno Ogbus
- 22Cyriaque Irié
- 44Johan Manzambi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzDDWWW
FreiburgLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 32 | -8 | 41 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 4–0 Mainz2025-11-30
Match preview
Mainz host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 12 April 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (DDWWW), while Freiburg have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
