Mainz vs Köln: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⇄Benedict Hollerbachon15'
- 27'Kristoffer Lund Hansenyellow card
- Paul Nebelred card60'
- ⇄Andreas Hanche-Olsenon65'
- ⇄Nadiem Amirion65'
- ⇄Anthony Cacion65'
- 67'⇄Jan Thielmannon
- 68'⇄Tom Kraußon
- 68'⇄Kristoffer Lund Hansenon
- 74'⇄Sebastian Sebulonsenon
- 80'⇄Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon
- 81'Joël Schmiedyellow card
- 90'⚽Marius Bülterassist Luca Waldschmidt
- ⇄Dominik Kohron90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 51%Possession49%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 19Shots12
- 2Shots on target2
- 8Corners3
- 7Fouls9
- 0Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 5Offsides0
- 1Saves2
- 390Passes397
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 27Robin Zentner
- 21Danny da Costa
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 19Anthony Caci
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 8Paul Nebel
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 6Kaishu Sano
Köln
- 1Marvin Schwabe
- 29Jan Thielmann
- 30Marius Bülter
- 5Tom Krauß
- 4Timo Hübers
- 6Eric Martel
- 18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 16Jakub Kamiński
- 32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
- 28Sebastian Sebulonsen
- 2Joël Schmied
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Mainz–
Köln–| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Köln | 32 | -12 | 31 |
Head to head
- Köln 2–1 Mainz2026-01-17
Match preview
Mainz host Köln in the Bundesliga on 24 August 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Köln are 14th on 31. In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Köln won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
