FTMatchday 17

Mainz vs FC Heidenheim: Prediction

📍 MEWA ARENA

Mainz2

FC Heidenheim1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

MainzFC Heidenheim

Silvan Widmerassist Jae-Sung Lee30'
Nikolas Veratschnigon34'
Dominik Kohryellow card45'
46'Jan Schöppneron
Nadiem Amiriassist Phillip Tietz49'
54'Marvin Pieringeryellow card
Armindo Siebon59'
59'Marvin Pieringeron
59'Mikkel Kaufmannon
60'Stefan Schimmerassist Arijon Ibrahimović
75'Julian Niehueson
77'Benedikt Gimberyellow card
81'Jonas Föhrenbachon
Silvan Widmeryellow card90'
Nadiem Amirion90'
Phillip Tietzon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MainzFC Heidenheim

41%Possession59%
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.41
13Shots15
6Shots on target4
4Corners1
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
3Saves4
345Passes490

Line-ups

Mainz

31Dominik Kohr
16Stefan Bell
21Danny da Costa
30Silvan Widmer
10Nadiem Amiri
7Jae-Sung Lee
20Phillip Tietz
11Armindo Sieb
22Nikolas Veratschnig
33Daniel Batz
6Kaishu Sano

FC Heidenheim

5Benedikt Gimber
19Jonas Föhrenbach
6Patrick Mainka
30Niklas Dorsch
29Mikkel Kaufmann
18Marvin Pieringer
3Jan Schöppner
41Diant Ramaj
16Julian Niehues
23Omar Traoré
22Arijon Ibrahimović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1433

Recent form

MainzLLDDD

FC HeidenheimWWLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Mainz	32	-8	39
2	FC Heidenheim	32	-25	25

Head to head

FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz2026-05-16

Match preview

Mainz host FC Heidenheim in the Bundesliga on 13 January 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and FC Heidenheim are 17th on 25. Mainz have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDD), while FC Heidenheim have won 2 of 5 (WWLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 1, FC Heidenheim won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.