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FTMatchday 21

Mainz vs Augsburg: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
MainzAugsburg
  1. Nadiem Amiripenalty8'
  2. 46'Noahkai Bankson
  3. 57'Elvis Rexhbeçajon
  4. 57'Marius Wolfon
  5. 57'Michael Gregoritschon
  6. 60'Alexis Claude-Mauriceyellow card
  7. Silas Katompa Mvumpaon63'
  8. 78'Anton Kadeyellow card
  9. Nadiem Amiripenalty80'
  10. Nadiem Amiriyellow card81'
  11. Dominik Kohron81'
  12. Silvan Widmeron81'
  13. Nadiem Amirion81'
  14. 81'Robin Fellhaueron
  15. Jae-Sung Leeon88'
  16. Sheraldo Beckeryellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MainzAugsburg
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 2.41Expected goals (xG)0.70
  • 10Shots14
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 6Corners4
  • 12Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 6Saves4
  • 328Passes526

Line-ups

Mainz

  • 31Dominik Kohr
  • 16Stefan Bell
  • 21Danny da Costa
  • 30Silvan Widmer
  • 4Stefan Posch
  • 10Nadiem Amiri
  • 26Silas Katompa Mvumpa
  • 7Jae-Sung Lee
  • 20Phillip Tietz
  • 33Daniel Batz
  • 6Kaishu Sano

Augsburg

  • 38Michael Gregoritsch
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 31Keven Schlotterbeck
  • 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
  • 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 19Robin Fellhauer
  • 36Mert Kömür
  • 34Arthur Chaves
  • 40Noahkai Banks

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1487

Recent form

MainzDWLWW
AugsburgLDDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2Mainz32-839

Head to head

  • Augsburg 1–4 Mainz2025-09-20

Match preview

Mainz host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Augsburg have won 2 of 5 (LDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 1, Augsburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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