Mainz vs Augsburg: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty8'
- 46'⇄Noahkai Bankson
- 57'⇄Elvis Rexhbeçajon
- 57'⇄Marius Wolfon
- 57'⇄Michael Gregoritschon
- 60'Alexis Claude-Mauriceyellow card
- ⇄Silas Katompa Mvumpaon63'
- 78'Anton Kadeyellow card
- ⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty80'
- Nadiem Amiriyellow card81'
- ⇄Dominik Kohron81'
- ⇄Silvan Widmeron81'
- ⇄Nadiem Amirion81'
- 81'⇄Robin Fellhaueron
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon88'
- Sheraldo Beckeryellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 39%Possession61%
- 2.41Expected goals (xG)0.70
- 10Shots14
- 6Shots on target6
- 6Corners4
- 12Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 6Saves4
- 328Passes526
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 26Silas Katompa Mvumpa
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Augsburg
- 38Michael Gregoritsch
- 27Marius Wolf
- 31Keven Schlotterbeck
- 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
- 20Alexis Claude-Maurice
- 4Han-Noah Massengo
- 1Finn Dahmen
- 19Robin Fellhauer
- 36Mert Kömür
- 34Arthur Chaves
- 40Noahkai Banks
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | -16 | 40 | |
| 2 | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 1–4 Mainz2025-09-20
Match preview
Mainz host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Augsburg have won 2 of 5 (LDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 1, Augsburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

