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FTMatchday 27

Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction

📍 MEWA ARENA

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
MainzEintracht Frankfurt
  1. Phillip Tietzyellow card1'
  2. Paul Nebelassist Sheraldo Becker6'
  3. 20'Nathaniel Brownassist Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
  4. 27'Ritsu Dōanyellow card
  5. Phillipp Mweneyellow card45'
  6. 46'Nathaniel Brownon
  7. 58'Jean-Mattéo Bahoyaon
  8. 64'Nnamdi Collinson
  9. Phillipp Mweneon69'
  10. Phillip Tietzon69'
  11. 79'Ritsu Dōanon
  12. 79'Farès Chaïbion
  13. Jae-Sung Leeon81'
  14. Paul Nebel89'
  15. Sheraldo Beckeron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MainzEintracht Frankfurt
  • 30%Possession70%
  • 1.55Expected goals (xG)1.23
  • 8Shots12
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 5Corners3
  • 12Fouls5
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 3Saves3
  • 232Passes584

Line-ups

Mainz

  • 31Dominik Kohr
  • 21Danny da Costa
  • 30Silvan Widmer
  • 4Stefan Posch
  • 2Phillipp Mwene
  • 23Sheraldo Becker
  • 7Jae-Sung Lee
  • 8Paul Nebel
  • 20Phillip Tietz
  • 33Daniel Batz
  • 6Kaishu Sano

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • 9Jonathan Burkardt
  • 20Ritsu Dōan
  • 25Arnaud Kalimuendo
  • 23Michael Zetterer
  • 3Arthur Theate
  • 8Farès Chaïbi
  • 16Hugo Larsson
  • 19Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
  • 21Nathaniel Brown
  • 5Aurèle Amenda
  • 34Nnamdi Collins

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1473

Recent form

MainzWLDDW
Eintracht FrankfurtDWWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Eintracht Frankfurt32-441
2Mainz32-839

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Mainz host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on 22 March 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Eintracht Frankfurt are 7th on 41. Mainz have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDDW), while Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3 of 5 (DWWDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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