Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
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MainzWLWLL
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Mainz2026-09-19
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Mainz2026-04-19
- Mainz 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2025-12-05
Why the model leans Mainz
- Mainz rate higher on our strength scale (1499 vs 1444).
- Mainz are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Mainz 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, draws 1.
- League table: Mainz #8, Borussia Mönchengladbach #17.
Match preview
Mainz host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027. Mainz sit 8th on 10 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 17th on 4. Mainz have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of 5 (LLLWD). In their last 3 meetings, Mainz won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Mainz 56%, the draw 22% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 22%, so Mainz are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
