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FTMatchday 13

Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Prediction

📍 MEWA ARENA

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
MainzBorussia Mönchengladbach
  1. 24'Joe Scallyyellow card
  2. 58'Danny da Costaown goal
  3. Phillipp Mweneon66'
  4. 69'Giovanni Reynaon
  5. Silvan Widmeron77'
  6. 79'Shuto Machinoon
  7. Jae-Sung Leeon88'
  8. 90'Jens Castropon
  9. Nikolas Veratschnigyellow card90'
  10. Andreas Hanche-Olsenyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

MainzBorussia Mönchengladbach
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 0.97Expected goals (xG)1.85
  • 8Shots14
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 8Corners6
  • 12Fouls4
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 525Passes425

Line-ups

Mainz

  • 21Danny da Costa
  • 30Silvan Widmer
  • 10Nadiem Amiri
  • 2Phillipp Mwene
  • 7Jae-Sung Lee
  • 5Maxim Leitsch
  • 25Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • 44Nelson Weiper
  • 33Daniel Batz
  • 6Kaishu Sano
  • 36Fabio Moreno Fell

Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • 4Kevin Diks
  • 30Nico Elvedi
  • 13Giovanni Reyna
  • 27Rocco Reitz
  • 20Luca Netz
  • 33Moritz Nicolas
  • 18Shuto Machino
  • 29Joe Scally
  • 15Haris Tabaković
  • 17Jens Castrop
  • 6Yannik Engelhardt

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1444

Recent form

MainzLLDDL
Borussia MönchengladbachLLWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Mainz32-839
2Borussia Mönchengladbach32-1235

Head to head

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Mainz2026-09-19
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Mainz2026-04-19

Match preview

Mainz host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 12th on 35. Mainz have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDL), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2 of 5 (LLWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Mainz won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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