Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- ⚽Dominik Kohrassist Kaishu Sano15'
- Dominik Kohryellow card20'
- ⚽Paul Nebel29'
- 33'Konrad Laimeryellow card
- ⚽Sheraldo Becker45'
- 46'⇄Aleksandar Pavlovićon
- 46'⇄Luis Díazon
- 53'⚽Nicolas Jacksonassist Konrad Laimer
- 57'⇄Alphonso Davieson
- 57'⇄Raphael Guerreiroon
- ⇄Sheraldo Beckeron71'
- 73'⚽Michael Oliseassist Konrad Laimer
- ⇄Nadiem Amirion79'
- ⇄Silvan Widmeron80'
- 80'⚽Jamal Musiala
- 83'⚽Harry Kane
- ⇄Dominik Kohron85'
- ⇄Paul Nebelon85'
- 90'Michael Oliseyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 26%Possession74%
- 2.11Expected goals (xG)0.77
- 14Shots6
- 8Shots on target3
- 2Corners2
- 9Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 2Saves5
- 160Passes471
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Bayern Munich
- 22Raphael Guerreiro
- 8Leon Goretzka
- 27Konrad Laimer
- 19Alphonso Davies
- 14Luis Díaz
- 21Hiroki Ito
- 3Min-jae Kim
- 11Nicolas Jackson
- 40Jonas Urbig
- 45Aleksandar Pavlović
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzWWWLD
Bayern MunichDWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz2025-12-14
Match preview
Mainz host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 25 April 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Mainz have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (DWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Bayern Munich won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
