Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
📍 MEWA ARENA
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- 11'⚽Alex Grimaldopenalty
- 24'⚽Christian Kofaneassist Ernest Poku
- ⚽Jae-Sung Lee34'
- Dominik Kohryellow card37'
- 45'⚽Alex Grimaldoassist Jonas Hofmann
- ⇄Stefan Bellon65'
- ⇄Nikolas Veratschnigon65'
- 66'⇄Jonas Hofmannon
- 67'Edmond Tapsobayellow card
- 68'Alex Grimaldoyellow card
- ⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty71'
- Andreas Hanche-Olsenyellow card77'
- 79'⇄Christian Kofaneon
- 79'⇄Ernest Pokuon
- 81'Loïc Badéyellow card
- ⇄Jae-Sung Leeon81'
- 83'Eliesse Ben Seghiryellow card
- ⇄Benedict Hollerbachon86'
- 87'⚽Martin Terrier
- William Bøvingyellow card90'
- Nadiem Amiriyellow card90'
- ⚽Armindo Siebassist Nadiem Amiri90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 2Expected goals (xG)3
- 12Shots20
- 4Shots on target8
- 2Corners3
- 12Fouls20
- 4Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 3Saves1
- 400Passes559
Line-ups
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 22Nikolas Veratschnig
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 6Kaishu Sano
- 1Lasse Rieß
Bayer Leverkusen
- 7Jonas Hofmann
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 1Mark Flekken
- 8Robert Andrich
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 5Loïc Badé
- 24Aleix García
- 19Ernest Poku
- 13Arthur
- 6Ezequiel Fernández
- 35Christian Kofane
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
MainzDLWLL
Bayer LeverkusenDDWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen2026-10-10
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz2026-02-28
Match preview
Mainz host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2025. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Mainz have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of 5 (DDWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Mainz won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
